New Jersey residents are in for a week of shifting weather patterns as the state moves from an early cold snap into a more moderate late-November stretch, with hints of winter already showing signs for December. Meteorologists note that multiple atmospheric factors, including a weak La Niña, the -QBO (westerly equatorial winds), and stratospheric warming later this month, may set the stage for a colder, potentially snowy start to winter. While precise predictions are always subject to change, these early indicators suggest December into January could bring New Jersey a return to classic winter conditions after several milder years.
For now, the Garden State will experience a few more cold days. Monday, November 17, sees highs hovering just below 50 degrees across most areas, accompanied by a mix of sun and clouds and breezy northwesterly winds that will gradually subside overnight. Temperatures drop into the 30s in inland areas, with higher elevations dipping slightly below freezing. Coastal regions will see milder lows near 40 degrees.
Tuesday, November 18, continues the chilly trend with highs in the low-to-mid 40s. Rain is possible overnight, and there is a small chance for a brief mix of snow and rain in northern and central New Jersey. However, ground temperatures above freezing make any accumulation unlikely. Winds will remain light to breezy out of the northwest, and overnight lows range from the mid-30s to mid-40s.
Wednesday brings a gradual transition, with highs rising into the upper 40s to low 50s. Morning rain may again mix with wet snow in parts of northern and northwestern New Jersey, but accumulation will be limited. Skies are expected to clear by afternoon, giving way to lighter northeast winds and overnight lows from 30 to 40 degrees, depending on elevation and proximity to the coast.
By Thursday, November 20, temperatures will climb into the low-to-mid 50s, offering a brief respite from the early-week chill. Skies will feature a mix of sun and clouds, and isolated showers cannot be ruled out. Overnight lows range from the 40s in northern areas to upper 40s along the southern coast. Friday continues the warming trend, with highs approaching 60 degrees in southern New Jersey. A few isolated showers are possible, mainly in the north, while the rest of the state enjoys mostly dry conditions.
Looking toward the weekend, November 22–23, New Jersey can expect mild, near-average conditions for this time of year. Highs will range from the upper 40s to mid-50s, with lows in the 30s to 40s. Mixed sun and clouds should provide pleasant conditions for pre-Thanksgiving errands and outdoor activities.
Despite the current milder pattern, meteorologists are keeping an eye on the end of Thanksgiving weekend, when colder temperatures and an active storm pattern could return. Early indications suggest the setup for December may favor snow lovers, with opportunities for accumulating snowfall increasing as the state transitions from late November into the heart of winter.
For ongoing updates, daily forecasts, and more in-depth analysis of New Jersey’s shifting weather patterns, explore the state’s weather report for timely insights and expert commentary.
