From NPR: It’s springtime, and “For Sale” signs are popping up in front of homes across the country.
But with so much uncertainty in the economy, it’s an open question whether the spring housing market will be hot … or not. Let’s check out the forecast.
It’s certainly not the cheapest time to buy a home. The average 30-year mortgage rate is now 6.65%, down a bit from January, but still pretty high.
Many analysts predict that mortgage rates will linger around this level for now, especially since the Federal Reserve has indicated it’s unlikely to cut interest rates until later this year.
Selma Hepp, chief economist at real estate analysis firm Cotality, says market volatility could bring down mortgage rates. That’s because mortgages typically follow the yield on 10-year Treasury bonds, which are affected by investors’ worries about the economy.
“Because of the concerns around a slowing job market, because of concerns maybe about rising risks of a recession,” Hepp says.
But there are other factors keeping mortgage rates high – among them, inflationary policies like tariffs.
Another deterrent for buyers is the elevated cost to buy a home. The median home price has shot up 47% in just the last five years.
Last year was the slowest existing home sales market since 1995. It’s wasn’t that people didn’t want to buy — there simply wasn’t much for sale.
The big question now is whether a frozen market can begin to thaw. Signs suggest things are starting to shift, with more inventory coming on the market.
In February, there were 17% more existing homes for sale compared to last year, followed by a 10% increase in new listings in March compared to a year ago.