Explore New Jersey’s humid grip, pop-up storms, and a faint whiff of fall on the horizon. For the “wake me up when it snows” crowd, here’s your first hopeful data point: since the summer solstice, we’ve already lost about 14 minutes of daylight. It’s barely noticeable, but it’s a signal—however subtle—that our long descent into hoodie weather has begun.
But let’s not get ahead of ourselves. We’re still deep in the belly of summer here in New Jersey, and this one’s been tropical from the start. July has brought relentless humidity, steamy temps, and a lot more rain than usual. Dew points have hovered north of 70ºF most days—an air you wear, not breathe. If you were lucky enough to step outside during that brief July 4–5 reprieve, you know what a rare gift a dry breeze can be.
For the rest of us? Welcome to the swamp.
Still, if you’re like many longtime locals, this is around the time you start craving that first “taste of fall”—a real cold front that drops dew points into the 50s, clears out the skies, and lets you crack the windows at night. It’s not quite here yet, but the setup is teasing it.
Here’s what to expect as we head into the July 12–14 weekend:
🌦 Friday, July 11
- Highs: Mid-to-upper 80s inland, around 80 at the coast
- Lows: Near 70ºF statewide
- Outlook: Expect a mostly cloudy sky with a sticky, humid feel. A few isolated showers or quick rumbles of thunder are possible—nothing severe, but keep the umbrella handy just in case. Winds will be light from the east/southeast.
☀️ Saturday, July 12
- Highs: Near 90ºF inland, low-to-mid 80s along the Shore
- Lows: Near 70ºF across the state
- Outlook: Sun and clouds trade punches throughout the day, but the real story remains the humidity. Pop-up thunderstorms could strike in random spots during the afternoon, but most of New Jersey should stay dry. Light southeast winds will offer only minimal relief.
🌩 Sunday, July 13
- Highs: Mid-to-upper 80s inland, around 80ºF on the coast
- Lows: Holding steady above 70ºF statewide
- Outlook: The air gets even heavier as the day progresses. It’s another warm, humid day with the same chance of scattered storms—especially later in the evening as a slow-moving cold front inches toward the Garden State. This front could generate heavier rain overnight Sunday into Monday.
🌧️ Looking Ahead: July 14–18
- Monday: Expect widespread rain and potential thunderstorms, especially early.
- Tuesday morning: Lingering showers possible.
- Tuesday PM–Thursday: A drier stretch, but the mugginess sticks around.
- Next Weekend Preview: Looking a lot like this one—hot, humid, with a few lucky breaks in the clouds and pop-up storms that most will dodge… but not all.
This zonal flow pattern overhead is keeping things mostly uneventful in the upper atmosphere. No major organized systems are on the radar, but the saturated tropical airmass over us means nothing is off the table when it comes to sudden, short-lived downpours. As always with New Jersey summer weather: if you don’t like it, wait five minutes.
There’s some uncertainty in how far the upcoming cold front will push southeast. Thanks to the Bermuda High, it might stall offshore. That would mean ongoing rain chances into next week and not much of the dry air we’re craving. We’ll be watching that setup closely.
For now, drink your water, don’t put too much faith in a sunny radar, and if you’re planning anything outdoors—especially near the coast—keep your eye on local conditions. The air might feel like Florida, but hey, the boardwalk fries are better here.
For the most up-to-date and hyperlocal weather insights across the Garden State, visit our Weather Report section.
Stay cool, stay dry, and keep Exploring New Jersey.