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New Jersey’s Race for Governor Tightens as Ciattarelli Gains Ground on Sherrill

New Jersey’s political spotlight is shining brightly on the fast-approaching gubernatorial election, where Republican candidate Jack Ciattarelli is rapidly closing the gap against Democratic contender Representative Mikie Sherrill. With just weeks to go until voters cast their ballots, the contest has transformed into one of the most heated and closely watched races in the country—drawing in national figures, high-profile endorsements, and sharp exchanges that underscore the state’s growing political tension.

Recent polling shows Sherrill’s lead shrinking, a sign that Ciattarelli’s relentless ground campaign may be resonating with voters across the Garden State. Once down by eight points, he has now narrowed the margin to just five, according to multiple surveys released this week. The energy around his campaign has grown noticeably stronger, particularly in areas where Republicans have traditionally struggled to make inroads.

At a lively town hall event in Elizabeth, Ciattarelli was joined by Democratic Assemblyman Jamel Holley, who crossed party lines to endorse him. Speaking to a packed crowd inside a local entertainment venue, Holley praised Ciattarelli as a candidate who “has a plan, a solid plan, for New Jersey.” The endorsement symbolized the Republican’s effort to reach beyond party boundaries, as he continues holding events in urban and Latino communities that have long leaned Democratic.

For Ciattarelli, that outreach has a deeply personal tone. He often recalls his Italian immigrant roots, drawing parallels between his family’s journey and the aspirations of today’s Latino population. “They remind me of my grandparents,” he said to attendees, emphasizing values like hard work, faith, and family. He vowed that, if elected, he would honor New Jersey’s diversity by visiting two different houses of worship every month—an effort, he said, to stay connected to the full breadth of the state’s communities.

Meanwhile, Sherrill has leveraged her growing national profile to rally support from across the Democratic spectrum. Her campaign recently hosted events alongside Governors Gretchen Whitmer of Michigan and Wes Moore of Maryland, and she’s received the backing of former President Barack Obama, whose endorsement further elevated her campaign’s visibility. Sherrill’s messaging has focused on protecting reproductive rights, expanding access to education, and defending infrastructure projects like the Gateway Tunnel, which became a flashpoint after former President Donald Trump threatened to withdraw federal support for it.

Trump’s influence looms large over the race. He has thrown his endorsement behind Ciattarelli, a move that simultaneously energized Republican voters and complicated the GOP candidate’s efforts to court moderates in a largely blue state. Both campaigns have had to navigate the political ripple effects of Trump’s involvement, especially as his comments on the Gateway Tunnel sparked backlash from both sides.

The candidates also clashed fiercely in their final televised debate, where the discussion turned fiery over the opioid crisis. Sherrill accused Ciattarelli’s former company of spreading misinformation about opioids, prompting an angry response and a threat of legal action. The exchange captured the tone of a race that has become increasingly personal, with each side portraying the other as out of touch with the state’s needs.

Outside the campaign trail, New Jersey is also feeling the impact of federal uncertainty. The looming threat of a government shutdown has cast doubt on the stability of funding for vital programs, including SNAP and WIC benefits that thousands of families depend on. The state’s Department of Human Services has warned that November benefits could be at risk if Congress fails to reach an agreement in time. For now, state officials have assured residents that all 16 WIC agencies across New Jersey will continue services through October, but concerns remain about what could happen if the shutdown persists into the following month.

For Ciattarelli, the political environment presents both a challenge and an opportunity. Polls currently give Sherrill a modest lead—averaging around six points across several surveys—but Ciattarelli remains unconvinced. “I don’t buy it,” he told reporters after a campaign stop. “Four years ago, the polls said I was down big, and I lost by only three. This time, the energy is even stronger. The electricity is off the charts.”

As Election Day draws closer, both campaigns are intensifying their efforts to connect with undecided voters in key swing regions, from the suburbs of Bergen County to the shore towns of Monmouth and Ocean. Voter turnout will likely determine the outcome, as both parties mobilize their bases with a mix of optimism and urgency.

The 2025 New Jersey gubernatorial race is shaping up to be one of the most consequential in recent memory—a referendum not just on policy, but on the state’s political identity itself. Whether the next governor is Sherrill or Ciattarelli, the result will signal where New Jersey stands in a nation increasingly defined by polarization and shifting alliances.

For more political coverage, election updates, and in-depth analysis from across the Garden State, visit Explore New Jersey Politics.

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