As November unfolds, New Jersey residents can expect a weekend of shifting weather patterns, with mild temperatures giving way to cooler, more seasonal conditions early next week. Analysis of the current synoptic setup suggests a zonal flow through the weekend, transitioning into a deeper, more aggressive trough by Monday, accompanied by an upper-level low centered over the Tennessee–New Jersey border. While the upper-level dynamics align for potential winter activity, the presence of a positive ridge over the western U.S. and a corresponding trough axis over the east prevents a full-scale snowstorm, leaving only the possibility of scattered flurries in the higher elevations of northwest New Jersey.
For Friday, November 7, residents will experience a warm-up after chilly morning lows in the 20s and 30s. Daytime highs are expected to reach near 60 degrees across much of the state, with interior southern New Jersey locations potentially climbing into the low to mid-60s. Skies will start mostly clear but gradually cloud over in the evening as light rain moves in overnight. Winds will be light to breezy from the south and southwest, increasing slightly overnight. Overnight lows will range from the 50s in northern and central New Jersey to near 60 degrees in southern coastal areas.
Saturday, November 8, brings a brief reprieve from precipitation. Daytime highs will reach the low to mid-60s, and skies should remain mostly dry after Friday night’s rain clears. However, breezy conditions are expected, particularly along coastal areas, with winds shifting from the west and northwest during the morning before settling out of the southeast by Sunday morning. Overnight temperatures will dip to the 40s for northern elevations and 50s along the southern coast.
Sunday, November 9, signals the return of rainfall as a more aggressive cold front moves in from the south. Highs will range from the mid-50s to mid-60s across the state, with mostly cloudy skies and periods of rain developing by late morning. Winds will be light to breezy from the southeast, strongest along the coastline. Overnight lows will drop into the 40s statewide as the front brings cooler air and scattered thunder is possible, particularly in southern New Jersey.
Looking ahead to early next week, November 10–14, New Jersey will feel the first taste of true seasonal chill. Dense low clouds, vivid sunrises and sunsets, and below-average temperatures will define the pattern. Tuesday and Tuesday night are forecasted to be the coldest stretch, with highs struggling to reach the upper 30s in northwest elevations and low 40s elsewhere. Overnight lows are likely to fall below freezing across the state, except for immediate coastal areas. While surface conditions will generally remain too warm for accumulating snow, flurries are possible in northwest New Jersey during the coldest periods, particularly Monday through Wednesday. Conditions should gradually normalize by midweek, with highs returning to the 50s and lows in the 30s and 40s. Most of next week is expected to remain dry, providing a crisp, autumnal feel before the holiday season approaches.
Residents looking to stay ahead of these changing conditions, including precipitation, wind, and temperature updates, can access the latest forecasts and advisories at Explore New Jersey Weather Report.
Overall, New Jersey’s weekend and early-week weather will offer a mix of late-fall rain, seasonal cool-downs, and the potential for the first conversational flakes in the northwest, marking the transition into the colder months without disrupting daily activities or travel plans.
